Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000182 0.000202 0.000224 0.000249 0.000277 0.000308 0.000344
2025-02-16 0.000142 0.000170 0.000204 0.000246 0.000298 0.000361 0.000442
2025-02-23 0.000118 0.000150 0.000189 0.000243 0.000314 0.000406 0.000536
2025-03-02 0.000103 0.000137 0.000181 0.000244 0.000333 0.000456 0.000640
2025-03-09 0.000091 0.000126 0.000173 0.000244 0.000348 0.000499 0.000741
2025-03-16 0.000079 0.000113 0.000160 0.000233 0.000346 0.000518 0.000805
2025-03-23 0.000073 0.000106 0.000155 0.000235 0.000362 0.000563 0.000917
2025-03-30 0.000069 0.000104 0.000156 0.000243 0.000389 0.000630 0.001075
2025-04-06 0.000063 0.000096 0.000149 0.000238 0.000393 0.000658 0.001169
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000087 0.000138 0.000227 0.000384 0.000663 0.001220
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000084 0.000135 0.000228 0.000398 0.000709 0.001356
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000082 0.000135 0.000234 0.000421 0.000776 0.001545
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000077 0.000130 0.000230 0.000425 0.000808 0.001671
2025-05-11 0.000044 0.000074 0.000127 0.000232 0.000440 0.000865 0.001864
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000230 0.000449 0.000909 0.002034
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000068 0.000121 0.000231 0.000464 0.000970 0.002259
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000065 0.000118 0.000231 0.000475 0.001023 0.002474
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000060 0.000111 0.000221 0.000465 0.001026 0.002558
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000058 0.000110 0.000222 0.000479 0.001088 0.002816
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000058 0.000111 0.000230 0.000510 0.001197 0.003230
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000225 0.000510 0.001227 0.003420
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000051 0.000100 0.000214 0.000494 0.001212 0.003471
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000050 0.000099 0.000216 0.000508 0.001281 0.003800